Monday 20 June 2016

Third Quarter

Mon, June 27, 2016: The trouble was an open Canadian dollar futures contract that expired. Now I have my numbers back, and tried to lessen the short position by half.

 

The expired futures contract is responsible for the N/A in the daily total column. Covering the short removed about $700 M out of the total P/L Open column on the left. S+P ended at 2000 and change. A half hour after close, ES Futures are around 1985. Here is the total line:






Fri June 24, 2016: They voted for a Brexit. I kept my short bias intact luckily, but have lost the quotes like last winter. Maybe they will come back. I am still stuck on the short side because it will not let me cover it now, but that may change. It just started to do that this morning.






Mon, June 20, 2016 - There was no gain this quarter, showing as of the pre open, and before exercising options 72 hours after expiration. That in itself was quite a feat not to lose anything versus other hedges. Overall weight to this point was a short bias.



After the Monday close, there was a large upswing in the market to 2076 S+P Futures, while the negative bias remains. It gave back much of the market gains at the close.


It may give back over the summer. I would have to add several biliion in longs to put it in balance again. Historically, that worked, but now the volatility premium isn't high enough. After a market correction is when I would be poised to balance again. The inflated Fed party is likely over.

Wednesday 30 March 2016

Second Quarter 2016

Thursday, April 7, 2016: A large down day, after an unsettled week. No trades, bear hedge intact.


Everybody jumped on the FOMC Minutes bandwagon, only to have it all dashed today. We held the short squeeze pressure, and what goes up in this market comes down more often than not, and harder after a two day rise.

Monday, April 4, 2016: After dipping to 3.433 Billion YTD with the Thursday Friday uptrend, there was a correction. As of after 4 EST, Here is what we have... as there are competitors, but none come close, and I'm not tellin'...







You can tell we are hedged balanced to the down side with an overall long volatility bias, seen from the other side of the trades. You have to be Banks or Brokers to do that, or just emulate them. They seem to be the ones with all the money in the dips. The Boss says there's no bigger whore than the S+P 500, but I beg to differ... <3 R.


Thursday March 31, 2016: It is the change of the calendar month after Janet Yellen's testimony/speech at the New York economic club after the monthly FOMC. They took rate hikes off the table, waiting for more economic improvements first. Ther was a market rise, but I remain hedged flat  with a downward bias until June so far. We were at about 3.460 Billion YTD last night.